RARE Infrastructure Value Fund Market Commentary – May 2010
June 15 2010May was a “shocker” for equity markets, with the US market (Dow Jones index) having its worst month since 1940. All markets were down in May (developed markets (MSCI World down -7.2%) and Emerging Markets (MSCI EM Local) down 5.6%.
Volatility was heightened due to:
• the Greek debt crisis spreading to Iberia’s debt funding/refinancing needs and associated anxiety over the effectiveness of austerity measures introduced to help reduce debt
• mixed economic news as to the sustainability of global growth ; and
• to a lesser extent the temporary concerns created from volcanic ash spreading over Europe
There are many views on the economic outlook but in essence we need to see the European sovereign credit outlook stabilize, further evidence of cyclical improvement in the US and less volatility for confidence to return to the markets.
Infra Regulation. The NZ Commerce Commission released a draft decision on airport regulation which was viewed by the market as being favourable, establishing an appropriate regulated asset base for future price resets.
Infra M&A.
• Transurban (tollroads) rejected two further bids from major shareholders and proceeded with a $530m equity raising at $4.60 to fund the Lane Cove Tunnel acquisition. One of the shareholders subsequently sold their 12% stake at $4.44 after the raising.
• MAp (Airports) issued notices to certain foreign shareholders to dispose of their shareholdings because the 40% government imposed foreign shareholding threshold had been breached.
Infra Funding. Canadian government committed US$550m in loans for a Detroit River toll bridge. AdP (airports, Europe) announced a €500m bond issue at 80bps over swap (this is an attractive rate). Abertis has financed the R3-R5 tollroad in Spain with €370m from commercial lenders and €300m from the European Investment bank.
Other Infra News. The new UK coalition government announced its plans for the energy sector, in particular its support for nuclear generation and renewable energy.


